A glimmer of relief could be on its way for Pakistani car owners, with petrol prices set to fall in the upcoming pricing circle. With changing global oil prices and the reduction in Pakistani cost complications, petrol prices expected to go lower from Jan 16, awaiting a final check from the government.
We take a closer look at the potential reasons for
The international oil market had been moving lower in the past few days, with smoother demand and a stable international supply. When such trends persist, the following is how the fuel price structure in Pakistan responds in the next fortnightly cycle.
However, the local factors are also playing their part. The lower impact of the customs duty and the reduced force on the exchange rate of imported fuel are responsible for the decrease in the base prices of fuel. This is possibly going to lead to a price revision.
How Much Relief Could Consumers See
Accordingly, in case the existing trend in international crude prices continues, the prices of petrol may fall by a differential of Rs4 to Rs5 per litre, while diesel could get cheaper by Rs2 to Rs3 per litre. Though modest, these changes make quite a difference for those commuting daily and households dependent on transport.
| Fuel Type | Current Price (PKR per litre) | Expected Price from 16 Jan 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Petrol (Super) | 253.17 | 248 – 249 |
| High Speed Diesel | 257.08 | 254 – 255 |
Why It Matters
Fuel prices affect much more than the cost of travel: any decrease helps to stabilize the price increases across transport, food distribution, and basic goods, giving short-term alleviation in a tight economic environment.
Bottom Line
Unless global oil prices sharply reverse in the days ahead, a cut in fuel prices looks likely mid-January. It does not erase broader inflation pressures, but it will be welcome breathing space for stretched consumers.
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